The YPG’s Precarious Position in Post-Assad Syria

On November 27, opposition groups led by Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) launched a major military campaign against the Assad regime, culminating in its collapse on December 8. This marks the start of a new era in Syria, with a key issue being the role of the People’s Protection Units (YPG) in the northeast. Backed by the United States but affiliated with the PKK—a designated terrorist organization—the YPG controls vital energy, water, and agricultural resources. However, the YPG finds itself in a precarious position in this shifting landscape, facing significant challenges from both local and regional forces. Growing pressure from opposition groups like HTS and Türkiye-backed forces complicate the YPG’s position. The group’s only hope lies in continued international support, but this is increasingly uncertain as the recent developments on the ground— the collapse of the regime, escalating conflict, and shifting alliances—create an unpredictable and volatile situation. As a result, the YPG’s influence in Syria is likely to diminish in the coming period.